Independent Research
AI Adoption
"Artificial Intelligence, Mass Unemployment, and the Optimal Financing of Universal Basic Income: A Dynamic Transition Model," Working Paper, Updated April 20, 2026.
The Safe Asset
"The Dynamics of Safe Asset Status: A Dynamic Simulation of U.S. Hegemony, Transition, and Multipolarity,” Working Paper, updated May 24, 2026.
Dashboard, last updated May 24, 2026
Python code, zip file, last updated May 24, 2026
“Replicator-Mutator Dynamics and the Safe Asset Status of the United States: An Evolutionary Model of the Global Safe Asset Provider Applied to Financial Economics and Game Theory,” Working Paper, updated May 24, 2026.
Dashboard, latest update May 24, 2026
Python code, zip file, lastest update May 24, 2026
Inflation & Monetary Policy
Dashboards
Interest Rate Forecasting Dashboard, lastest update March 19, 2026
Recession Forecasting Dashboard, lastest update March 13, 2026
Inflation Forecasting Dashboard, lastest update March 1, 2026
Papers
Forecasting the 10-Year Treasury Yield, March 19, 2026 Workbook Code Documentation
Recession Forecasting with Credit and Oil Price Channels, March 13, 2026 Workbook Code Documentation
Supply-Side Inflation Forecasting When the Phillips Curve is Flat, March 3, 2026 Workbook Code Documentation
Observational Equivalence in Taylor Rule Estimation, March 1, 2026 Workbook Code Documentation